Here’s an update on Thursday’s weather and the threat for severe storms.
As of 10:30 am, Doppler radar showed light rain showers falling across parts of the eastern Hill Country and the Interstate 35 corridor. Rain showers and a couple of isolated non-severe thunderstorms were occurring over parts of Matagorda, Wharton, and Colorado Counties.
Thursday morning’s analysis shows the threat for severe thunderstorms today will mainly be for Southeast Texas and areas west to around Victoria, La Grange, Giddings, and Rockdale. A very low-end threat for severe storms will be in place for the Austin area and the Interstate corridor. Little to no threat for severe storms is predicted for the Hill Country.
The window for severe storms will be from late Thursday morning and late Thursday afternoon. The threat for severe weather will then diminish late Thursday afternoon into the early evening.
The combination of very moist, unstable air spreading from the Gulf and increasing wind shear ahead of a trough moving northeast across West Texas is expected to support the development of showers and scattered thunderstorms primarily over the area east of Interstate 35. This environment may lead to the development of some strong to severe thunderstorms. Today’s primary severe weather threat will be a few short-lived tornadoes, followed by large hail, and damaging wind gusts.
- The Strom Prediction Center has placed Colorado, Wharton, and Matagorda, Counties under a Slight Risk, a 2 out of 5 risk, for severe thunderstorms through this evening.
- Eastern Travis, Bastrop, Fayette, Lee and Williamson Counties have been placed under a Marginal, or 1 out or 5 risk, for severe thunderstorms through late afternoon.
- No severe weather threat is indicated for the Hill Country.
Rain amounts through Thursday evening are forecast to average less than a tenth of an inch across the Hill Country while averaging under a quarter inch across Central Texas. For areas south of Interstate 10, totals of 0.5 to 1 inch, with isolated totals to 2 inches are forecast.
Partly cloudy and dry weather is forecast across the Hill Country and Central Texas regions Friday. However, there will be a 40-50 percent chance for rain showers across the coastal plains region Friday into Friday evening. No severe storms are predicted.
Bob
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