The quiet and dry weather pattern we’ve seen as of late is expected to continue for another week as very limited moisture is able to return off the Gulf of Mexico. The jet stream pattern across the country is currently in the process of changing, with a ridge of high pressure setting up across the western U.S., and a downstream trough of low pressure developing across the Great Lakes and northeastern U.S. Over the next week, the developing trough is going to allow a series of cold fronts to push southeast out of Canada, bringing cool air into the eastern half of the nation. This period of cooler weather is predicted to extend out for at least the next couple of weeks. While we are looking at a change to a cooler pattern, the latest forecast data indicates the coldest air should remain to the north and east of Central Texas. As of now, no widespread freezing temperatures are forecast across our region through at least the first week of December.
As of early Monday afternoon, the first in a series of cold fronts was quickly pushing south across Central Texas. The front is forecast to continue moving to the south Monday afternoon and should move off the middle Texas coast around sunset. Behind the front, winds will shift to the north and wind speeds should increase to around 10-20 mph as temperatures cool through the 70s and 60s. Ahead of the front, temperatures are forecast to reach the mid-80s. Breezy and cooler weather is forecast Monday night, followed by sunny and cool weather Tuesday. Milder readings will begin returning Tuesday night.
- Lows Tuesday morning will include the mid and upper 30s across the Hill Country, the low 40s across Central Texas, and the upper 40s across the coastal plains
- High temperatures Wednesday are forecast to be around 68-70 degrees
- Lows Wednesday morning are forecast to be in the low and mid-50s
A brief, but significant warm-up is expected on Wednesday as breezy south and southwesterly winds develop ahead of the next cold front that will be pushing south out of the Plains state. Expect wind speeds of 10-15 mph, with gusts to 30 mph.
- High temperatures Wednesday are forecast to climb to the mid-80s across the region
The next cold front is predicted to push south across the region Wednesday night, bringing a much colder airmass behind it. The front will likely result in a mostly sunny, cool, and breezy Thanksgiving Day. Expect northwesterly winds at 15-25 mph Thursday into Thursday evening, with wind speeds decreasing Thursday night. Mostly sunny and cool weather will continue on Friday.
- Lows Thursday morning will range from the mid-40s across the Hill Country, to the low 50s across Central Texas, to the upper 50s across the coastal plains
- High temperatures Thanksgiving Day will include the upper 50 to low 60s across the Hill Country, the low and mid-60s across Central Texas, and the mind-60s across the coastal plains
- Lows Friday morning are forecast to be in the low and mid-30s across the Hill Country, the mid and upper 30s across Central Texas, and the low 40s across the coastal plains
- High temperatures Friday are predicted to be in the low 60s
- Lows Saturday morning are forecast to be in the upper 30s across the Hill Country, be near 40 degrees across Central Texas, and in the mid-40s across the coastal plains
Forecasts call for another cold front to push south across the area Saturday night into early Sunday morning, bringing a reinforcing shot of cool air. Breezy northwesterly winds will develop behind the front on Sunday. Expect a sunny to mostly sunny sky both Saturday and Sunday.
- High temperatures Saturday are forecast to be in the upper 60s
- Lows Sunday morning will range from the upper 30s across the Hill Country, to the upper 40s across the coastal plains
- High temperatures Sunday are forecast to be near 60-62 degrees
- Lows Monday morning are predicted to be in the low and mid-30s across the Hill Country, the upper 30s to 40 degrees across Central Texas, and in the low 40s across the coastal plains
The outlook for next week calls for temperatures to trend a little milder, with highs reaching the low 70s the second half of the week. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the 40s, warming to the low 50s late week. Forecasts continue to point to a chance for rain developing next Tuesday through Thursday as a trough of low pressure developing off the coast of northern Mexico creates an overrunning pattern of clouds and rain across Texas.
Tropical Weather Outlook
Weather conditions remain quiet across the tropical Atlantic as we move through the last days of hurricane season. Tropical cyclone development is not forecast over the next seven days.
I hope everyone has a safe and enjoyable Thanksgiving holiday. After such an unusually warm September and October, enjoy the cooler weather.
Bob
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