The weather is certainly feeling much like spring. The combination of a weak ridge of high pressure in the upper atmosphere and a moderate flow of air off the Gulf of Mexico is causing the development of unseasonably warm temperatures—especially for early February. Forecasts call for a pattern of dry weather with unseasonably warm and humid conditions to continue through Saturday as the ridge of high pressure remains across Texas and northern Mexico. Areas along and east of Interstate 35 will likely see the nightly development of widespread low clouds. These clouds are expected to linger through the morning hours, then burn off with the sky becoming mostly sunny.
Tuesday’s analysis showed a weak cold front pushing south out of North Texas. As of early Tuesday afternoon, the front stretched from Big Spring, to Brownwood, to Tyler. Behind the front, temperatures were in the 50s. The front is predicted to slide a little further south into the northern Hill Country Tuesday afternoon, causing temperatures to cool into the 60s and 50s. The front is forecast to stall across the northern Hill Country Tuesday night, then retreat back to the north early Wednesday. This cooler air is not expected to make it into Central Texas.
- High temperatures Wednesday and Thursday are forecast to be generally in the low 80s
- High temperatures Friday are predicted to be in the mid-80s
- High temperatures Saturday are forecast to be in the mid and upper 80s
- Low temperatures Wednesday through Saturday mornings will include the low 60s across the Hill Country, and the mid-60s at most other locations
Cooler temperatures will return to the area Saturday night into Sunday morning when a Canadian cold front gets a good push south out of North Texas. A few spotty light showers may accompany the cold front, but no widespread or significant rain is forecast. Breezy and noticeably cooler weather will follow the front Sunday and Sunday night.
- Low temperatures Sunday morning will range from the low 50s across the Hill Country, to the mid-60s towards the coast
- High temperatures Sunday are forecast to be in the upper 60s to low 70s
- Lows Monday morning are predicted to be in the low 40s across the Hill Country, in the mid-40s across Central Texas, and the upper 40s to low 50s across the coastal plains
Next week, the cooler air is forecast to remain across the area through Thursday as we see another reinforcing shot of cool air spread into Texas. Expect daily high temperatures to be in 50s to low 60s, with low temperatures generally in the 40s. Milder readings look to return late next week, with highs returning the 60s and 70s. Lows are forecast to be in the 40s and 50s.
A chance for rain showers is forecast to develop across the region Monday through Tuesday afternoon as a trough of low pressure tracks northeast out of northern Mexico and the Desert Southwest. Rain amounts through Tuesday are expected to be low—less than a quarter inch across the Hill Country and Central Texas regions, and less than a half inch across the coastal plains.
Forecasters continue to closely monitor the weather pattern for the middle and latter parts of February. There are some elements coming together which could help to deliver another blast of very chilly air into Texas. However, not all of the ingredients are there yet. Stay tuned for additional updates on this possible cold weather threat.
Bob
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