It was a wet and soggy weekend across the region. Although totals from the rain event weren’t quite as high as were projected late last week, many areas did receive significant rain. Some of the highest totals occurred southeast of Austin, over the area between Karnes City, Hallettsville, and Columbus. Here, widespread totals of 3-5 inches were recorded. For most other locations, weekend amounts were mostly between 1 and 3 inches.
An unsettled weather pattern continues as we start off the workweek. Additional showers and thunderstorms are forecast Monday afternoon and again on Tuesday. Some locally heavy downpours will be possible. The unsettled pattern will give way to mostly sunny and dry conditions Wednesday through Friday. The next chance for rain is forecast to take shape Friday night into Saturday when a weak cold front sags south through the area. Rain amounts are not expected to be very heavy. The outlook for next week calls for dry weather for the first half of the week, with a chance for rain returning late in the week.
No unusually warm weather is forecast over the next two weeks.
Here’s this week’s breakdown of the weather:
Monday through Monday Night
Circulation around a trough of low pressure across West Texas and a large ridge of high pressure located over the Southeastern U.S. continues to steer a very moist air mass off the Gulf of Mexico into Texas. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have developed across the region this afternoon in the moist and somewhat unstable atmosphere. This activity is predicted to continue throughout the afternoon and evening hours. The majority of the rain is forecast to diminish by late evening, followed by quiet conditions overnight. The probability for rain this afternoon and evening will be near 60 percent. Today’s rain won’t be distributed evenly, with some locations seeing very little rain while others seeing locally heavy downpours. In general, rain amounts should average between 0.25 and 0.5 inches, with isolated totals of 1-2 inches. The threat for severe storms will be low, but dangerous lightning will be possible with any of the storms.
Monday’s temperature is forecast to warm up to the mid-80s. Lows Tuesday morning will be in the mid-60s.
Tuesday through Tuesday Night
Additional scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are forecast across the region Tuesday through Tuesday evening as a moist and unstable atmosphere remains across the area. A weak cold front currently located across Northwest Texas is forecast to sink slowly southeast during the day. The front is predicted to reach a position southeast of Austin shortly after sunrise Tuesday morning, the Interstate 10 corridor Tuesday evening, and off the coast by Wednesday morning. Tuesday’s showers and storms are forecast to be most concentrated along and just behind the boundary. The probability will be near 40 percent, with the chance for rain diminishing by late Tuesday evening. Rain amounts Tuesday are forecast to average around a quarter inch, with isolated totals of 1-2 inches possible.
High temperatures Tuesday are predicted to be in the low 80s. Lows Wednesday morning will generally be in the low and mid-60s.
Wednesday through Friday Afternoon
A mostly sunny and dry weather pattern is forecast to take shape Wednesday and continue through Friday as the tough across West Texas lifts up to the north and a ridge of high pressure builds in from the west. Temperatures do look to trend a little warmer late week.
High temperatures Wednesday are forecast to be in the mid-80s, warming to the upper 80s Thursday and close to 90 degrees on Friday. Low temperatures will generally be in the low and mid-60s.
Friday Night through Saturday Night
Forecasts call for a weak cold front to sweep southeast across the region between late Friday night and Saturday afternoon. Some scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are forecast to develop along and just behind the cold late Friday night through Saturday afternoon. The probability for rain will be near 20-30 percent and rain amounts should only average less than a quarter inch. Expect a partly cloudy sky on Saturday.
Saturday’s high temperature is forecast to be in the mid-80s. Lows Sunday morning will range from the low 60s across the Hill Country, to the upper 60s near the coast.
Sunday through Sunday Night
Mostly sunny weather is forecast. Expect high temperatures in the low to mid-80s, with lows in the mid-60s.
Monday
Forecasts call for a slight chance for rain showers and thunderstorms across the region as a weak trough of low pressure moves over the area. Rain amounts, if any, should total well below a quarter inch. Expect a high temperature in the mid and upper 80s.
Next Tuesday through Thursday
Mostly sunny and dry weather is forecast. Expect high temperatures in the upper 80s and low temperatures in the mid and upper 60s.
Next Friday
Forecasts are pointing toward an increasing chance for rain and thunderstorms as a trough of low pressure moves across the southern Plains.
Have a good week.
Bob
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