We’ll be looking at an active weather pattern over the next week as a series of cold fronts and troughs of low pressure move across Central and South Texas. Each of these features is expected to bring  a chance for rain, with the highest totals of rain with each system expected to occur along and to the east of Interstate 35. Total rain amounts through late next week are forecast to range from a quarter to a half inch across the Hill Country, to around 1 to 1.5 inches for areas located east of Interstate 35. Mild temperatures are predicted through the first half of next week. Colder temperatures  are forecast for the second half of the week and next weekend. Lows are expected in the 30s across the Hill Country and Central Texas regions.

Clouds and moisture made a rapid return into the eastern half of Texas late Thursday into Friday morning in response to a trough of low pressure tracking across the central Rockies. This will yield a cloudy sky for most of the region on Friday. The feed of Gulf moisture is forecast to continue Friday afternoon into Friday evening. As atmospheric moisture levels increase, spotty light rain showers and occasional drizzle look likely. Expect a breezy day, with some wind gusts to around 20 mph.

  • Friday’s high temperature is forecast to be in the upper 60s, with low 70s towards the coast
  • Lows Saturday morning will range from the upper 50s across the Hill Country, to the mid-60s towards the coast

The chance for rain showers looks to increase late Friday night through midday Saturday as the trough over the Rockies pushes east to the Plains states. Moisture and lift appear sufficient for the development of a scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms. The chance for rain is forecast to diminish across the Hill Country Saturday afternoon. Meanwhile, a slight chance for showers will continue across Central Texas and the coastal region through late Saturday afternoon. Rain amounts through Saturday are forecast to be quite low—less than a quarter inch. Expect a partly to mostly cloudy sky Saturday afternoon.

The sky will be cloudy Saturday night. A mostly cloudy sky is forecast across the area Sunday as a second trough of low pressure begins to move into the central Rockies, re-establishing a moderate flow into Texas off the Gulf of Mexico. As moisture levels increase, it will lead to a slight chance for a few spotty rain showers Sunday afternoon. Breezy, warm, and humid weather can be expected.

  • High temperatures Saturday are forecast to be in the mid-70s
  • Lows Sunday morning include the mid and upper 50s across the Hill Country, the low 60s across Central Texas, and the mid-60s towards the coast
  • High temperatures Sunday will be in the upper 70s
  • Lows Monday morning are forecast to be in the low and mid-60s

There will be a slight chance for light rain showers across the region Sunday night. The chance for rain showers and scattered thunderstorms will increase to around 50 percent Monday morning through Monday afternoon as a Pacific cold front associated with the upper trough pushes southeast across the state. A slight chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms is forecast across Central Texas and the coastal region through midnight Monday night as the cold front stalls near the coast. The most favorable area for the development of rain Monday is forecast to be along and to the east of Interstate 35. Here, totals through early Tuesday morning are forecast to average between 0.5 to 1 inch. Across the Hill Country, totals of 0.25 to 0.5 inches are forecast.

A partly to mostly cloudy sky is predicted for Tuesday into Tuesday night as moisture once again starts to spread north off the Gulf of Mexico.

  • High temperatures Monday are forecast to be in the low and mid-70s
  • Lows Tuesday morning will range from the upper 40s across the Hill Country, to the low 60s near the coast
  • High temperatures Tuesday are forecast to be in the low and mid-70s
  • Lows Wednesday morning will range from the low 50s west, to the low 60s near the coast

Forecasts call for yet another trough to dip south out of the northern Rockies Tuesday into Wednesday and will help to push a cold front southeast across Texas Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. Conditions appear favorable for the development of light rain showers across the region ahead of and along the cold front Tuesday night into Wednesday. The rain should taper off late Wednesday afternoon. Rain amounts Wednesday are looking low—generally around a tenth to two tenths of an inch. Mostly sunny and dry weather is expected to follow Thursday through next weekend.

Total rain amounts through next Friday are forecast to generally average between 0.25 and 0.5 inches across the Hill Country, and be between 1 and 1.5 inches across Central Texas and the coastal region.

NWS Rainfall Forecast for the Period 6 pm Friday through 6 pm Next Friday:

rain4cast1213

Wednesday’s cold front is looking to have Canadian air behind it and will bring cooler readings. This will be followed by an even colder surge of air Thursday into Friday.

High temperatures late week and into next weekend are forecast to be in the mid/upper 50s to the low 60s. Lows Friday through Sunday mornings are forecast to be in the upper 20s to low 30s across the Hill Country, with mid and upper 30s across Central Texas.

 

Have a great weekend!

Bob